Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +8 (99-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Robinson | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 34 | 10-23 | 3-9 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Currie | 22 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Cayla George | 13 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 40 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 39 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 37 | 9-23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 34 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Hooper | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter