Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +8 (99-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Robinson | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 10-23 | 3-9 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 17 | - |
| D. Robinson | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Currie | 22 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| E. Cannon | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. George | 13 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Talbot | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Y. Turner | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 40 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 39 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| B. Sykes | 37 | 9-23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Hayes | 34 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| B. Holmes | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Dantas | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Hooper | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter