Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | San Antonio Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Stars +24 (85-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Mitchell | 31 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Briann January | 25 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 21 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Erica McCall | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 18 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| E. Larkins | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Hamson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Coleman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 31 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| S. Holmes | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. de Souza | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Alexander | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter