Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✗ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wheeler | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| C. Dupree | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. January | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| E. Larkins | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Coleman | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Hamson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| E. McCall | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 9-20 | 6-12 | 10-11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 15 | - |
| C. Little | 29 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Currie | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Robinson | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. George | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Talbot | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Cannon | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Y. Turner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter