Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +4 (100-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | 37 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 12-13 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 36 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 34 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 14 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hooper | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Meesseman | 40 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| K. Thomas | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 37 | 10-23 | 7-19 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 29 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| I. Latta | 29 | 6-14 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
* = starter