Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Smith * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Angel Robinson * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 22 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Cayla George | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 21 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 20 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter