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2017-07-16

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 88.3% 11.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 80.0% 20.0% - โœ—
Margin 82.3% 17.7% -8.5 โœ— (38.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 84.4% 15.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 65.4% 34.6% - โœ—

Actual: New York Liberty +30 (85-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivory Latta * 28 3-9 1-5 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 9 1 -
Krystal Thomas * 26 2-3 0-0 3-4 10 0 1 0 1 7 14 -
Kristi Toliver * 24 1-7 0-5 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Emma Meesseman * 23 6-13 3-5 4-4 0 2 0 2 2 19 8 -
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * 17 1-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
Tianna Hawkins 23 3-13 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 7 -1 -
Natasha Cloud 22 2-6 1-4 1-2 2 2 1 1 1 6 5 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 20 0-4 0-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Asia Taylor 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -
Jennie Simms 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shavonte Zellous * 22 3-8 1-4 4-4 4 4 1 1 2 11 11 -
Bria Hartley * 22 6-10 3-6 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 15 10 -
Epiphanny Prince * 19 1-6 0-3 4-4 2 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
Tina Charles * 19 3-10 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 1 6 6 -
Kia Vaughn * 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 6 9 -
Sugar Rodgers 21 5-11 3-6 1-1 4 5 2 0 3 14 11 -
Kiah Stokes 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 3 1 5 16 -
Lindsay Allen 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 4 2 0 0 4 6 -
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe 17 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
Rebecca Allen 16 3-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 8 4 -
Amanda Zahui B 8 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter