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2017-07-15

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tiffany Hayes * 34 8-15 1-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 19 8 -
Layshia Clarendon * 34 5-12 0-1 4-4 4 8 1 0 2 14 13 -
Elizabeth Williams * 32 6-10 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 3 2 13 13 -
Brittney Sykes * 25 6-13 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 16 6 -
Sancho Lyttle * 23 0-3 0-0 2-2 6 3 1 1 0 2 10 -
Damiris Dantas 23 5-12 2-6 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 12 10 -
Bria Holmes 16 1-6 0-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
Jordan Hooper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Matee Ajavon 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Darxia Morris 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 35 11-20 2-5 0-0 9 6 1 1 5 24 16 -
Crystal Langhorne * 31 9-9 1-1 1-1 8 1 0 0 0 20 20 -
Jewell Loyd * 31 1-9 0-1 8-8 3 4 4 1 2 10 11 -
Sue Bird * 28 5-8 2-5 0-0 0 7 0 0 2 12 9 -
Alysha Clark * 26 5-7 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 13 9 -
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Alexis Peterson 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sami Whitcomb 8 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
Carolyn Swords 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Ramu Tokashiki 4 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter