Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (89-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Clarendon | 34 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 34 | 6-18 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 14 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 13 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Hooper | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 19 | - |
| C. Little | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 30 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 25 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Currie | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Robinson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cayla George | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter