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2017-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% - โœ—
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 โœ— (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonquel Jones * 35 4-10 1-2 5-6 12 2 0 1 0 14 19 -
Shekinna Stricklen * 34 7-11 7-10 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 21 16 -
Jasmine Thomas * 34 7-14 1-2 0-0 3 6 5 0 5 15 10 -
Alyssa Thomas * 31 4-11 0-0 5-8 8 5 0 0 6 13 9 -
Courtney Williams * 25 4-12 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 1 -
Alex Bentley 19 3-10 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 0 -
Kayla Pedersen 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Morgan Tuck 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lynetta Kizer 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 34 10-17 2-6 0-0 8 0 1 1 4 22 11 -
Jewell Loyd * 34 7-17 0-3 3-4 2 6 2 1 3 17 8 -
Sue Bird * 30 5-10 3-6 2-2 3 7 0 0 3 15 12 -
Alysha Clark * 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Crystal Langhorne * 22 5-5 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 0 2 12 10 -
Carolyn Swords 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
Sami Whitcomb 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Noelle Quinn 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Ramu Tokashiki 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter