Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | -1.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -7 (72-79). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 37 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 12-13 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 23 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Alex Montgomery * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sequoia Holmes | 7 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Briann January * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Erica Wheeler * | 27 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jazmon Gwathmey | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Jennifer Hamson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Erica McCall | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter