Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 38 | 11-21 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 36 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 35 | 6-18 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| S. Zellous | 26 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hartley | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Raincock-Ekunwe | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 34 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 32 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 30 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Little | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Robinson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Currie | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Cayla George | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter