Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +20 (98-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 32 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 30 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance * | 21 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 16 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Saniya Chong | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Evelyn Akhator | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Breanna Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes * | 32 | 6-17 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Bria Holmes * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Darxia Morris | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter