Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +4 (96-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thomas | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne | 31 | 12-18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 31 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 28 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Hill | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| I. Latta | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazmine Jones | 35 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 34 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 29 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Bentley | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Kizer | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter