Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +21 (89-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Johnson | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 25 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 24 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| E. Larkins | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Briann January | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Coleman | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Erica McCall | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 31 | 11-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Hooper | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Morris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter