Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +10 (94-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 26 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Hooper | 9 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Morris | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Simmons | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 34 | 6-19 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 7 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 33 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| G. Johnson | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| C. Paris | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Chong | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Akhator | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter