Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +10 (94-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Brittney Sykes * | 25 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 9 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Darxia Morris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Meighan Simmons | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 34 | 6-19 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Saniya Chong | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Evelyn Akhator | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Breanna Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter