Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +7 (76-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne * | 29 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Krystal Thomas * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tayler Hill * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 35 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 35 | 7-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 35 | 5-18 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Riquna Williams * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Essence Carson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter