Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | -7.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.7% | 10.3% | -11.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -6 (85-91). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 32 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 27 | 11-13 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 24 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 35 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Briann January * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 29 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Erica Wheeler * | 27 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Erica McCall | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jazmon Gwathmey | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter