Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.6% | 23.4% | -6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 34 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| R. Brunson | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| S. Augustus | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Perkins | 13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Pierson | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 31 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 29 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Currie | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Robinson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cayla George | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter