Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.8% | 18.2% | -8.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -9 (76-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 34 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Candace Parker | 30 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 22 | - |
| E. Carson | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Williams | 18 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 34 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 32 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 22 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 17 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Morris | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Hooper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter