Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -8 (79-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Beard | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 32 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Candace Parker | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| R. Williams | 29 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 28 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 26 | 5-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. Bentley | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Adams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter