Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | -3.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +14 (96-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Stricklen | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Thomas | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 30 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Bentley | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Adams | 5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 32 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 30 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| G. Johnson | 29 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Chong | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| E. Akhator | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter