Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Quigley | 37 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Young | 30 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 27 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Breland | 26 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Dolson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Harris | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Hampton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 30 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Little | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Murphy | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
* = starter