Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (86-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Quigley * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Breland * | 25 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Imani McGee-Stafford | 26 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Amber Harris | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Keisha Hampton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 30 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
* = starter