Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bria Holmes | 34 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 30 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 25 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 11 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hooper | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Simmons | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 34 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Coleman | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| E. Larkins | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Johnson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter