Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +11 (85-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bria Holmes * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 30 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Damiris Dantas * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 11 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brianna Kiesel | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Meighan Simmons | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rachel Hollivay | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Erica Wheeler * | 33 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jazmon Gwathmey | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter