Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +20 (96-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zellous | 29 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 28 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Tina Charles | 26 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Raincock-Ekunwe | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Hartley | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Alston | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Burdick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 34 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 33 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 32 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 17 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Adams | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| F. Fitzgerald | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter