Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (97-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 12-13 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 23 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 24 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 22 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Chong | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 33 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| A. Beard | 33 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Candace Parker | 28 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| E. Carson | 23 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 20 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. Williams | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter