Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +18 (88-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erica Wheeler * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 21 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jazmon Gwathmey | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Erica McCall | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nadia Colhado | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystal Thomas * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne * | 25 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Tayler Hill * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 19 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Asia Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jennie Simms | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter