Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -2 (87-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 36 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| A. Beard | 35 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| E. Carson | 30 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker | 30 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Lavender | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| O. Sims | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Wiese | 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 8-16 | 6-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| D. Robinson | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| C. Little | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Talbot | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Murphy | 15 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Cannon | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. George | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Y. Turner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter