Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +33 (104-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 32 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Hooper | 9 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Simmons | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 38 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 33 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 33 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 30 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 30 | - |
| A. Thomas | 23 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Fitzgerald | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Adams | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter