Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | -5.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -8 (90-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 39 | 15-19 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 30 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 38 | 4-18 | 3-13 | 6-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 30 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Robinson | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| S. Talbot | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| C. George | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Murphy | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Cannon | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Y. Turner | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wheeler | 42 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 9 | - |
| C. Dupree | 41 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| E. Larkins | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Johnson | 32 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Coleman | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| N. Colhado | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. January | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter