Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 30 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Cayla George | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Little | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 17 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Murphy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 35 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| S. Zellous | 34 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 34 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Hartley | 28 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| N. Raincock-Ekunwe | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Hopkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter