๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2017-06-02

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Diggins-Smith 33 6-15 2-6 6-7 3 3 2 1 1 20 13 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 33 3-10 0-1 6-8 9 0 1 0 0 12 12 -
Allisha Gray 32 4-13 0-4 6-6 4 3 1 0 1 14 8 -
T. Plaisance 29 6-10 4-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 18 11 -
G. Johnson 23 3-7 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 7 8 -
Kayla Thornton 22 3-6 1-3 1-2 3 1 3 0 1 8 8 -
Kaela Davis 19 4-8 1-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 4 10 1 -
S. Chong 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles 37 13-23 2-3 8-9 10 3 1 1 2 36 26 -
S. Zellous 34 9-15 1-1 8-11 8 3 0 0 5 27 18 -
B. Hartley 34 4-10 2-5 0-0 3 4 0 2 1 10 8 -
S. Rodgers 29 0-6 0-5 2-4 2 5 1 0 2 2 2 -
Kiah Stokes 28 6-8 0-0 1-2 15 1 1 2 2 13 22 -
Lindsay Allen 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 0 0 -
N. Raincock-Ekunwe 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Amanda Zahui B 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Rebecca Allen 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Burdick 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter