Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | -5.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.1% | 24.9% | -6.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -15 (75-90). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 22 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Rodgers * | 36 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 29 | 11-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 7 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter