Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (35.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +42 (107-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaela Davis | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 27 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 25 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| G. Johnson | 24 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 20 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Chong | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Lewis | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Akhator | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 20 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cayla George | 18 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Murphy | 17 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 17 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Brunner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter