Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 28 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Augustus | 25 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Brunson | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 21 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| L. Whalen | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Perkins | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Pierson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Jones | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 23 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Bentley | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| C. Williams | 22 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Tuck | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Kizer | 16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Adams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hooper | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter