Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 91.5% | 8.5% | -13.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +3 (93-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 34 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| A. Beard | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| E. Carson | 33 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 32 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 27 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Williams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 31 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| M. Coleman | 28 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Briann January | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Larkins | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Johnson | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 15 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Erica McCall | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter