Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | +16.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -2 (67-69). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epiphanny Prince * | 34 | 10-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 33 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Cayla George | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 18 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter