Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.7% | 10.3% | -11.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams * | 35 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -4 | - |
| Alex Bentley * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Morgan Tuck * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Briann January * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 24 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Erica McCall | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter