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2017-05-18

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 74.0% 26.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.5 โœ“ (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.5% 23.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty -19 (71-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maya Moore * 32 6-18 2-3 2-2 11 6 0 0 1 16 14 -
Sylvia Fowles * 32 6-10 0-0 0-3 7 0 2 1 1 12 11 -
Seimone Augustus * 27 3-7 1-2 4-6 5 3 0 0 0 11 12 -
Lindsay Whalen * 25 5-8 0-1 2-2 2 5 0 0 3 12 8 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 20 3-5 1-2 4-5 4 2 0 0 2 11 10 -
Renee Montgomery 18 2-6 1-4 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 7 5 -
Jia Perkins 13 2-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Plenette Pierson 12 2-8 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Natasha Howard 12 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 7 7 -
Temi Fagbenle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alexis Jones 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles * 28 2-9 0-1 2-2 7 3 0 0 0 6 7 -
Sugar Rodgers * 26 6-14 4-7 4-6 7 2 1 1 1 20 16 -
Kiah Stokes * 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
Shavonte Zellous * 22 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
Brittany Boyd-Jones * 15 6-10 0-1 4-5 4 3 2 0 1 16 14 -
Epiphanny Prince 28 1-10 0-2 2-2 1 3 3 0 0 4 1 -
Kia Vaughn 19 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 7 5 -
Cierra Burdick 10 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -2 -
Rebecca Allen 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
Bria Hartley 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Amanda Zahui B 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter