Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +23 (85-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Briann January * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 24 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Erica McCall | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nadia Colhado | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 30 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 30 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Cayla George | 12 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sophie Brunner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter