Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +23 (85-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| B. January | 27 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. Larkins | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 24 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Johnson | 24 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Coleman | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 18 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| E. McCall | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Colhado | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 30 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 30 | - |
| D. Robinson | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Little | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Talbot | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. George | 13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Y. Turner | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Prince | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Cannon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Brunner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter