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Dallas Wings 68
@
Phoenix Mercury 58
2017-05-14

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - ✗
Margin 24.6% 75.4% +6.2 ✗ (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Diggins-Smith 32 2-12 0-1 3-4 3 3 1 1 3 7 0 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 30 2-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 2 0 1 5 5 -
G. Johnson 29 4-11 0-2 1-1 14 0 0 0 5 9 7 -
K. Davis 28 6-10 0-1 8-8 4 4 2 0 2 20 18 -
C. Paris 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
A. Gray 19 4-9 1-2 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
T. Plaisance 18 5-8 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 10 4 -
S. Chong 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
K. Thornton 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 4 10 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Little 32 5-9 1-2 0-1 0 0 4 0 2 11 4 -
B. Griner 32 6-11 0-0 6-7 2 1 0 2 0 18 12 -
D. Robinson 31 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 9 0 0 6 8 6 -
D. Taurasi 30 1-11 1-9 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 3 -8 -
S. Murphy 19 1-2 0-1 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
L. Mitchell 17 3-6 2-5 0-2 0 1 1 1 2 8 3 -
S. Talbot 15 1-1 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
C. George 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
E. Cannon 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Prince 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Y. Turner 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter