Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Holmes | 31 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Hayes | 30 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 11-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 27 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| D. Dantas | 25 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Sykes | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Simmons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Tuck | 38 | 7-18 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 6 | - |
| J. Thomas | 33 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| A. Thomas | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Williams | 27 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| A. Bentley | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Kizer | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Banham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter