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2016-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 11.9% 88.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Graham Woodward * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 9 11 -
Reed Timmer * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 9 -
T.J. Thomas * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 8 12 -
Kory Kuenstling * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
C.J. Rivers * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Casey Schlatter 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 15 18 -
De'Antae McMurray 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 6 12 -
Ore Arogundade 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 4 0 0 2 9 -
Billy Wampler 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 9 11 -
Nick McGlynn 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Jacob Enevold 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brynton Lemar * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 0 1 17 25 -
Darius Graham * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 6 13 14 -
Chima Moneke * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 2 12 21 -
Siler Schneider * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 5 9 -
J.T. Adenrele * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 8 -
Joe Mooney 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 9 -
Georgi Funtarov 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
Michael Henn 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 6 -
Lawrence White 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter