Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -15 (58-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishmail Wainright * | 33 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Johnathan Motley * | 32 | 12-22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Manu Lecomte * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Allerik Freeman * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Lual-Acuil Jr. * | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T.J. Maston | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jake Lindsey | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Wendell Mitchell | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| King McClure | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Davis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 31 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 21 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nick Ward | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter