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2016-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% -
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% -
Margin 32.2% 67.8% +4.1 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -15 (58-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Wainright * 33 2-3 1-2 2-2 8 8 1 0 0 7 21 -
J. Motley * 32 12-22 1-1 1-1 6 3 0 0 1 26 12 -
M. Lecomte * 32 3-10 1-6 1-2 3 8 0 0 3 8 6 -
A. Freeman * 31 3-11 2-4 1-2 3 1 2 0 1 9 3 -
J. Lual-Acuil Jr. * 23 6-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 0 14 16 -
T. Maston 18 3-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 2 7 3 -
J. Lindsey 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
W. Mitchell 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. McClure 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davis 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nairn Jr. * 31 2-3 1-1 0-2 6 3 1 0 1 5 11 -
M. Bridges * 29 7-11 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 3 3 15 10 -
J. Langford * 23 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
K. Goins * 21 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 1 1 4 8 -
E. Harris * 21 1-9 1-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 3 1 -
M. McQuaid 20 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
N. Ward 17 2-5 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 2 1 7 5 -
C. Winston 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 5 0 -
A. Ellis III 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Ahrens 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
M. Van Dyk 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter