Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -5.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -15 (58-73). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ish Wainright * | 33 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Johnathan Motley * | 32 | 12-22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Manu Lecomte * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Allerik Freeman * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. * | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Terry Maston | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jake Lindsey | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Wendell Mitchell | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| King McClure | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Davis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lourawls Nairn Jr. * | 31 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 21 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nick Ward | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Alvin Ellis III | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter