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2016-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Golden Hurricane Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 9.6% 90.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% -
Log Adjusted 3.7% 96.3% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Etou * 31 4-7 1-3 13-14 8 0 0 0 3 22 20 -
J. Wheeler * 25 1-3 0-2 7-9 3 3 1 0 2 9 11 -
S. Taplin * 25 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 1 4 0 -2 -
L. Korita * 24 2-10 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 -3 -
W. Magnay * 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
P. Birt 32 2-10 1-6 3-5 4 1 0 0 2 8 1 -
C. Henderson 18 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
M. Igbanu 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Battle 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Edogi 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Atson 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
C. Haith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Lee * 30 6-13 2-5 4-7 5 3 1 0 1 18 13 -
D. Hawkins * 30 6-14 1-4 3-4 4 1 1 1 1 16 8 -
T. Wills * 29 5-8 1-4 0-0 4 0 3 1 0 11 11 -
M. McIntosh * 24 3-9 2-5 2-2 4 3 1 1 3 10 7 -
P. Fayne * 17 0-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
D. Clayton 32 4-9 0-2 0-1 4 1 2 0 0 8 6 -
K. Evans 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
D. N'Diaye 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
M. Williams 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter